Statistics: Covid & Vaccines

[Magna]

Something happening with the death chart, deaths per day and change from previous day converging. I believe to 13.79 deaths per day weird something woke me at 5:00 morning. felt strong urge to put 13.79 in my Z-table for deaths. which I got up and did. It appears all my graphs are converging to sometime in April 2022 when Covid becomes endemic. the first case of Covid in Ontario was Jan. 22, 2020. So my best guess is April 23, 2022. Still a few days before Ontario apex fails. still on for Dec. 21, 2020.

It sounds like you've found something that interests you about your current analysis.

 

[Ronald Zeeman]

All the charts are converging. Every day the picture becomes clearer.

 

[Magna]

All the charts are converging. Every day the picture becomes clearer.

That's cool that it's clear for you.

 

[Ronald Zeeman]

Keep all the charts are bell curves, If You know he Beginning Jan. 22, 2020, the middle Jan. 15 2021, you can work out the end, equal distance away. April 2022. probably around the 23rd.
All the case charts come to the same conclusion. I expect to see another 1000 deaths in Ontario, due to Omitron in that time.

 

[Magna]

Keep all the charts are bell curves, If You know he Beginning Jan. 22, 2020, the middle Jan. 15 2021, you can work out the end, equal distance away. April 2022. probably around the 23rd.
All the case charts come to the same conclusion.

Just be sure to remember that not everyone even knows how bell curves work let alone all the other factors to your statistical analysis. It's elementary to you but to many, myself included, it's not something I understand in the least. You have said previously that you have a hard time putting this kind of thing in layperson's terms or perhaps are even incapable of doing so. I respect that; just as there are areas of expertise that I have that others know little to nothing about.

That said, you're certainly not under any obligation to explain your analysis in plain and basic terms so others here can understand.

 

[Ronald Zeeman]

I, unable teach mathematics in one paragraph, just trust me the math is correct Covid does have an end. four months from now it will be a memory unless you catch it, at least in Ontario.
I got my third vaccine today. Keep in mind I am only monitoring the virus, it is telling me what it is doing. I'm suprised how normal it is allowing us to plan our lives around it.

 

[Ronald Zeeman]

Things are starting to get serious now with Omicron. Would not want to live in Peel region.I got my third vaccine yesterday.

 

[Magna]

Things are starting to get serious now with Omicron. Would not want to live in Peel region.I got my third vaccine yesterday.

Does that mean Omicron is killing a lot of people? More than Delta et al?

 

[Ronald Zeeman]

Yes unvaccinated

 

[Magna]

Ronald: Does the data provide information on the average age of Covid deaths in your area? I'd like to know what that is.

 

[watersprite]

I would like to know information on the victim’s
- average age of those who died
- pre-existing ill-health
- obesity

 

[Ronald Zeeman]

This is the web site for where I live COVID-19 in Peel - Region of Peel (peelregion.ca) I live in Brampton.

 

[Magna]

I would like to know information on the victim’s
- average age of those who died
- pre-existing ill-health
- obesity

@watersprite , if you're able to make sense of the data that Ronald posted after your post, please let us know what the data shows related to your/our points of interest. Thank you.

 

[Ronald Zeeman]

The one thing I noticed on the Peel site is that Mississauga is rapidly gaining on Brampton in the number of cases. Will get a better idea what is going on when they do their monthly update. Theses two cities of similar size next door to each are a real clue to how this virus operates.

 

[Nitro]

Yes unvaccinated

Proof please.

 

[Ronald Zeeman]

my charts so for show it will kill no more than up to 12 people a day in Ontario The start of Delta and Ominigron are both clearly Labelled, the proof is right on the charts.

 

[Nitro]

my charts so for show it will kill no more than up to 12 people a day in Ontario The start of Delta and Ominigron are both clearly Labelled, the proof is right on the charts.

I asked for your proof that the omicron variant was more deadly to the unvaccinated then those who got the "jab"

So, once again, can you show me proof?

 

[Ronald Zeeman]

I'm not a Doctor or all I got is the numbers interprete as you will I am neither a pro or against vaccines. Just that there is more to the virus. than is being said so far.

 

[Ronald Zeeman]

This may be of interest to some.

 

[Mary Terry]

Ronald - I can't make heads nor tails of your charts. I'm sure it is just me - I'm terrible at math and stuff like that. The only conclusions I can draw from the differing rate of infection in two cities is that people in the more infected city socialize more than people in the other city. Coronavirus is primarily airborne. We inhale the virus given off by infected people. So, if one city has a higher number of covid cases, then I'd surmise that people in that city are less likely to social distance and take other precautions to avoid getting infected.

Do you draw any conclusions different from mine?