Ephraim, I am getting the impression that you are one who is desperate for companionship. I get it. I literally lucked out and found a woman to spend my life with,...that frankly,...I don't know where I would be without her. Of course, I didn't have any idea that I had Asperger's when I met her, and we went through plenty of issues with "miscommunication" and "misinterpretation". Still do, but to a lesser extent now-a-days. That said, she scored a 27/50 on the AQ test,...suggesting some degree of autistic thought patterns. 30 being the cut off for suggesting ASD and a professional diagnosis.
From your post, I am getting the sense that you are trying to analyze your life experiences with friendship,...and as much as I can totally appreciate that from a systems approach,...it doesn't quite work out that way with people. I think you are totally off course with your thinking. Sorry. A good first impression is important in most social situations, as they are more likely to lead to a second meeting and perhaps a building of a relationship. A bad first impression, and then later, a positive relationship happens, is statistically very low.
In my over 53 years, I have had a handful of what I would call "good acquaintances", that I thought were "friends". These are people that I get along with, have a few laughs, work with, etc....but they are not inviting me over to their house to meet their family, I am not going out after work for social drinking, etc. One might call them "peripheral relationships".
Friendship is a two-way street in the sense that you both are socially engaged (sometimes daily), seeking each other out, are honest with each other, are willing to defend each other, and so on. For myself, I can say I am very low on the "cognitive empathy" and "interpersonal bonding" scale. I just do not have that "thing", whatever it is, that allows me to get close to someone and maintain a relationship. Most people are "out-of-sight, out-of-mind" to me. That is a friendship killer, if there ever was. Now, I can get into all the neurobiology of it all,...I do understand it,...but it doesn't make me want to seek out a friend. I think it is because I know it would take a tremendous amount of conscious effort on my part,...enough that I think it might be a form of masking,...basically acting,...and it would come off to me as "fake". It's not fair to me or the other person. For neurotypicals, in general, this whole friendship thing comes naturally, and nearly effortlessly.
In case you are wondering,...yes, I have a difficult time bonding with my parents, siblings, other relatives,...even my children,...and even my wife, which I have found that I have to bond with her physically by touch (holding hands, kissing, hugs, etc.).
So, Ephraim, I am not saying that you are not going to have friends. What I am suggesting is that to maintain a true friendship as an autistic may require a lot of conscious effort,...much more effort than say, a neurotypical. It may be totally worth it for you, but just understand that maintaining a relationship is not a "passive" thing.